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John Quiggin's avatar

Sykes second argument is more interesting, but the first makes the debate academic (in the pejorative sense). Trump will get the Repub nomination if he wants it, and no alternative candidate has a chance.

Worse than that, Trump will be the next president of how many or few votes he gets. Officials in Republican state will declare him the winner (having replaced those who refused to this last time). If that fails, there's the virtual certainty of a Republican House majority after 2022 - again even if Dems get more votes. The minority who voted to uphold the 2020 election will either be gone or cowed into submission, so a Democratic win will be overturned in 2024.

The die was cast when Trump got away with the insurrection. Anyone who didn't explicitly break with him after that is a guaranteed vote for the end of American democracy. And "anyone" here includes not only de Santis, but almost every remaining Republican elected official and nearly all Republican voters.

I have no real idea how to deal with this (apparently) inevitable outcome, but tossing up people like DeSantis and Youngkin as potential saviours is just a distraction

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Brett Bogo's avatar

My concern is that how much will DeSantis act as if he is being “owned” by Trump, how like the liberals use to mock W being owned by major corporations and Clinton by conservatives being owned by the Chinese government. I think there could be a strong and emerging case that if DeSantis would win 2024, that Trump might force DeSantis to do something to Trumps will not the country by using some sort of leverage, popularized or hidden, to get what Trump only prefers.

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