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Nicely done. The two recent midterms in which the president's party didn't lose House seats had, say, extenuating circumstances. In '98, Clinton beat back the GOP's ham-handed attempt to remove him from office. Voters made the GOP pay.

In 2002, GWB was still enjoying strong support for his work post-9/11 and the Iraq War hadn't yet started.

As you mention, if there's a strong economic recovery under way, Biden probably will get credit for it; moreover, if Republicans are stuck on running MTG/Gaetz/Boebert types, non-crazy Democrats could pick up seats as well.

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